Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 12.701172 14.297609 16.092255 18.274231 20.875814 23.904250 27.734645
2025-06-29 10.116021 12.012382 14.308939 17.340966 21.310027 26.434160 33.731971
2025-07-06 8.693653 10.680763 13.206174 16.729963 21.653387 28.507706 39.201793
2025-07-13 8.563835 10.895729 14.012161 18.626452 25.556598 36.081501 54.421624
2025-07-20 8.063801 10.527565 13.946261 19.243728 27.667825 41.409239 67.753758
2025-07-27 7.347991 9.769602 13.221138 18.749624 27.923711 43.732915 76.451244
2025-08-03 7.026022 9.530616 13.208115 19.322749 29.980092 49.580223 94.165051
2025-08-10 6.553148 9.021175 12.725717 19.061148 30.528201 52.730671 107.325059
2025-08-17 6.145183 8.571861 12.287328 18.806730 31.027608 55.874955 121.849457
2025-08-24 5.813859 8.211602 11.952806 18.681982 31.736932 59.613813 139.793678
2025-08-31 5.456974 7.784329 11.470906 18.235691 31.734152 61.764456 154.335330
2025-09-07 5.194347 7.487476 11.178298 18.097147 32.330449 65.464416 176.041823
2025-09-14 4.812074 6.986765 10.526029 17.260951 31.419076 65.476497 186.082634
2025-09-21 4.455132 6.508035 9.880591 16.380670 30.301625 64.759144 193.436776
2025-09-28 4.182651 6.151987 9.421680 15.815442 29.803702 65.597315 208.022439
2025-10-05 4.292253 6.435207 10.100687 17.570596 34.957950 84.108437 323.591047
2025-10-12 4.214586 6.394396 10.193111 18.140813 37.403185 95.657539 425.176982
2025-10-19 4.004573 6.112416 9.820670 17.684421 37.148128 98.167338 473.567788
2025-10-26 3.936781 6.074313 9.899705 18.213772 39.607527 111.406781 634.332065
2025-11-02 3.779072 5.868024 9.644281 17.972206 39.909060 116.696415 741.807242
2025-11-09 3.633185 5.675359 9.402436 17.737185 40.193343 122.121403 870.680887
2025-11-16 3.510658 5.518616 9.220343 17.621916 40.814216 129.359034 1054.486666
2025-11-23 3.363417 5.310024 8.923564 17.209362 40.472703 132.200838 1191.998592